MODELED · PRE-ENGAGEMENT
GOG·2026·HCM·OI·V2 · CONFIDENTIAL
GHOST ORCHID
FORENSIC CAPITAL GOVERNANCE
Capital Glass Box · hear.com
Engagement model:
Performance Dividend
· 40% of recovered capital
Modeled scope baseline
$18.0M
· US auction-deployed digital
TIER 1
Capital Leakage
REAL-TIME LOSS SURFACE · MODELED
Gross Hypothesized Leakage
$5.19M
28.8% of baseline · ±14% band
Realizable Recovery
$3.29M
after halo discount · 63.4%
Projected Performance Dividend
$1.32M
40% · GOL share
Projected Client Net Benefit
$1.97M
60% · returned to hear.com
FLOW
Capital Flow
EVERY DOLLAR RECONCILES
SCOPE BASELINE
$18.0M
WORKING MEDIA
$12.81M
LEAKAGE
$5.19M
REALIZABLE
$3.29M
RESERVED
$1.90M
CLIENT NET
$1.97M
DIVIDEND
$1.32M
Working media · retained
Leakage · recoverable surface
Realizable recovery
Performance dividend
TIER 2
Efficiency Dividend
Reclaimed Capital
Reclamation begins on engagement. Projection holds until the Validation Pilot reconciles against account data.
RECLAIMED TO DATE
$0
PROJECTED CLIENT NET
$1.97M
PROJECTED DIVIDEND
$1.32M
TIER 3
Operational Integrity
Circuit Breaker
Halts capital deployment when modeled leakage crosses the governance threshold. Modeled rate sits under the trigger.
ARMED · MONITORING
MODELED 28.8%
THRESHOLD 30.0%
SYSTEM CONFIDENCE
78%
LEAKAGE PROJECTION VARIANCE
sub-2%
RECOVERY PREDICTION CONFIDENCE
82% pre-engagement